Nailed-on…

Look no further than the Home Win if you are looking for a ‘banker’ bet. Second bottom Wigan have won just one of their last seven matches and only scored twice in their last eight.

They have won only two of their 20 matches v Top Half teams, only managing to score in just seven of those games. You’ll only get 4/11 for the Home Win, but there are ways we can boost those odds.

Smart Money…

The Win to Nil option looks solid. Eight of Toon’s wins v Bottom Ten teams have been accompanied with a clean sheet. Another here pays 21/20.

In addition, six of Newcastle’s wins at home to Bottom Half teams have gone Over 2.5 Goals. The Newcastle to Win & Over 2.5 Goals increases returns to 13/10. And five of those also paid out on Newcastle to Win & Over 3.5 Goals, which squeezes it up to 3/1.

Long Shots…

For really big prices we need to tackle the Correct Score market. The 2-0, 3-1 and 4-0 have paid out an even number of times in home matches this season and are available at 5/1, 12/1 and 16/1 respectively.

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